Lake effect snow activity will continue to impact western parts of the Capital Region today with some significant accumulations possible. High pressure will move in tonight and into Monday, before a complex storm system is poised to impact the region on Tuesday and Wednesday with a wintry mix of precipitation.
- A lake effect snow advisory is in effect for Otsego, Schoharie, Fulton, and Montgomery counties until 1 PM this afternoon. Total snowfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are likely in the advisory area. The advisory extends until 10 PM tonight in far western areas.
- A lake effect snow warning remains in effect for all of the western Adirondacks, including Herkimer and Hamilton counties, until 7 PM this evening. Total snowfall accumulations of 4 to 12 inches are likely in the warning area.
Here is the complete forecast for Albany and the Capital Region of upstate New York:
TODAY – Lake effect snow activity will continue for portions of the western Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley, and parts of the Schoharie Valley into this evening, while the immediate Capital Region will remain mainly dry with mostly cloudy skies and a passing flurry or two. High temperatures will reach the mid 20’s with a west wind at 10 to 15 mph. Skies will clear and winds will become calm overnight as high pressure moves in, allowing temperatures to plummet below zero across the entire region.
MONDAY – High pressure will remain in control and bring a bitterly cold day with mostly sunny skies. High temperatures will struggle to reach the mid teens with a light north wind. The high pressure will begin to slide offshore on Monday evening, and clouds will increase ahead of an approaching storm system.
TUESDAY – As the storm system approaches the region, cold arctic air will be in place which should allow for light snow to fall most of the day as temperatures slowly rise into the low to mid 30’s by evening. The forecast becomes quite challenging as some warm air aloft is expected to work into the region by late Tuesday and into Tuesday night, which may transition the snow over to a wintry mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and even plain rain, just about everything but the kitchen sink. It appears that areas north of the Mohawk Valley will remain primarily snow and sleet, while the Capital Region may see all four types of precipitation, and areas south and east will see more liquid rain. It is too early to call accumulations, but there is the potential of 2 to 6 inches of snow before the changeover and some significant ice accretion is also possible somewhere across the region.
OUTLOOK – Temperatures will then begin to fall after midnight Wednesday once the coastal low takes over, allowing all areas to change back over to snow by early Wednesday afternoon with northern and western areas first, and southern and eastern areas being the last ones to change back to snow. High temperatures may actually reach the mid 30’s on Wednesday, before falling back into the 20’s by evening as all precipitation ends. There could be some more snow accumulation on the back end, but still to early to pinpoint that right now.
It will be chilly with a brief break in the weather on Thursday, with partly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid 20’s, before another coastal system looks to approach the region by late Thursday and into Friday. This system could potentially bring another significant snowfall to parts of the area, as temperatures will be cold enough for snow everywhere. It will become bitterly cold into next weekend as the storm moves away.
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